Intelligence

Our written analysis, video commentary and published pieces, with an early read on what is coming and what it could mean for markets, trade and security.

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Iran's escalation, and what happens after America leaves

Between September and November 2026, Olivier Guitta tracked Iran's escalation in four short videos. Sanctions would not stop it, the Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia could pull in the UK, Pakistan and Turkey, and terrorism is Tehran's Plan B. Once America leaves, the Gulf could face a confrontation lasting five to ten years.

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The Bushehr nuclear risk to the Gulf

Iran's Bushehr nuclear plant sits in an earthquake zone, runs on decades-old safety systems and is now inside a war. An accident or strike there would hit the Gulf states harder than Iran, and few were talking about it

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