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“Any country that is a source of financing for Iran is going to see its position fall on Trump’s deaf ears,” said Olivier Guitta, managing director of GlobalStrat, an international risk consultancy. “Iran is for him the main thing. Those states with most to lose are those doing business with Iran.
Olivier Guitta, a former private banker who now advises banks on geopolitical risk at GlobalStrat, has been following developments in Saudi Arabia and Iran for over a decade. He is sure that, in both countries, the hotels favoured by bankers are emptying. Bankers, he continues, have become acutely aware of the renewed risk of dealing with these two markets.
Mr Guitta, boss of consultancy GlobalStrat, said Isis still has around 30,000 fighters in Iraq and Syria — and he said its success was down to its unique “business model”.
“Isis is the McDonald’s of terrorism,” Olivier Guitta, a security analyst, said. “Rather than be an elitist movement, by attracting anyone and everyone it can live on eternally.”
Looking at the dramatic rise of Islamic State from the ashes of al-Qaeda in Iraq, one can see that the US is not the only responsible party but the main factor is the sectarian divide exacerbated by successive Shia-led Iraqi governments.
Issue with unregulated Militias totally uncontrolled by local government
Regional Govt not re-distributing any of the large wealth stemming from oil
Always more expats coming in the region
YTD 19 attacks against foreign civilians resulting in 11 deaths, all in the Oil and Gas sector; 4 attacks against private security contractors resulting in one death
“While the security services are excellent at identifying potential jihadists, the terrible lack of human resources means that they can monitor only a tiny tiny fraction of the suspects,” said counterterror analyst Olivier Guitta, who runs GlobalStrat, a London-based risk consultancy
“Algeria is the country spending the most on defense on the continent and not sparing any expenses really there,” said Olivier Guitta, the managing director of GlobalStrat, a security consultancy in London.
"The obvious pitfall for this likely U.S.-France-U.K. strike on Assad is that the effect of surprise is totally lost but also has given enough time for the Syrian regime, Russia and Iran to get prepared" said Olivier Guitta, managing director at GlobalStrat.
Olivier Guitta, the founder of GlobalStrat, a security consultancy, said “The militias in Tripoli are the ones controlling these areas not Haftar. In fact his whole involvement in politics is to get support to re-establish control over these areas."
"Macron is extremely opportunistic and is filling the void left by the US and the UK in the Middle East, positioning France as a playmaker in the region along with Russia," said Olivier Guitta, the managing director of GlobalStrat, a geopolitical risk consultancy firm.
Olivier Guitta, a leading security expert has spoken of the European Union’s reliance on British intelligence after Theresa May pledged the UK’s commitment to European security.
"It's totally different than Nice and Berlin because it is a much more sophisticated plot involving many more people which is extremely serious and extremely concerning," Olivier Guitta, managing director of GlobalStrat, told CNBC on Friday.
Olivier Guitta, managing director at risk consultants GlobalStrat, told MailOnline: 'Homegrown jihadists have always represented a much larger threat than returnees because they represent a much potential larger pool, are much more under the radar than the ones that travelled to Syria/Iraq that are known to Western security services and would be picked up upon return.
“Many who joined Isil have returned to the UK and they could be awaiting instructions,” said Olivier Guitta, managing director of GlobalStrat, a security and geopolitical risk consulting firm. “It is very likely that there is communication (between those still in Syria and those at home.)