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"Regarding Saudi Arabia in Yemen, the best outcome they can hope for is a draw," said Guitta. "A victory should have happened in the first year (of their intervention). Now it is turning into a quagmire a la Vietnam."
Olivier Guitta, said the recent white nationalist attacks against Muslims do not appear to be revenge for jihadist terrorist attacks. For now, he said, there is no far-right global terror organization in the mold of al-Qaida or Islamic State that attackers “could belong to or claim responsibility for.”
"I call it the McDonald's of terrorism. It's accessible to all," said Olivier Guitta, a London-based terrorism expert who runs GlobalStrat, a risk and security consultancy. "You just have to make a video, name-check the Islamic State, and that's it, you’re part of it."
After an unprecedented wave of jihadist terrorism, since 2015, in France, the UK, Germany, Spain among others, now is the time to reflect on how Western counter-terrorism strategies might miss the point. Indeed, while going after the operatives is a must, the West needs also to have an arsenal to target the ideological terror masters.
More than 500 incarcerated Islamist militants are due to be freed in Europe over the next two years, according to Olivier Guitta, head of the geopolitical risk company GlobalStrat.
“Isis returnees have been in the area, and made plans to attack targets there, especially hotels and churches,” said Olivier Guitta, a French analyst.
Olivier Guitta, head of geopolitical risk company GlobalStrat, said the far right has strong roots in France. "He was obviously radicalised and this [his visit to France] was a field trip, if you will, to basically convince him that his views were right on target," he said.
“Hezbollah as a whole and not just the military wing being designated in the UK is a very important and courageous step,” said Olivier Guitta, managing director of GlobalStrat, an international security and geopolitical risk consultancy. “The UK is sending a strong message to Iran, the main backer of the Shiite terror group, more than any other countries in the world.”
Said Bouteflika, 61, is well regarded by the U.S. and France, Algeria’s key foreign ally. “But his handicap is his last name,” says Olivier Guitta, who heads GlobalStrat, a security and geopolitical-risk consultancy.
Of the 22 successful terror attacks in France since 2012, 97 percent were carried out by individuals known to have been radicalized, or otherwise known to police, according to Olivier Guitta, the managing director of GlobalStrat, a risk management firm that studies terrorism.
"The main issue throughout Europe is the sentencing, which is extremely lenient and also allows for terrorists/jihadists to be freed quite early for 'good behavior,'" said London-based terror expert Olivier Guitta, founder and managing director of the security firm GlobalStrat.
Mr Guitta pointed out that the Strasbourg attacker did not even follow one rudimentary jihadist practice: he ran away, rather than blowing himself up.He said Isis terrorism abroad was the “McDonald’s of jihad” — anyone could buy into the franchise. “Just the suspicion that they might be behind something or that their ideology was pushing it is enough for it to work,” he said.
“Any country that is a source of financing for Iran is going to see its position fall on Trump’s deaf ears,” said Olivier Guitta, managing director of GlobalStrat, an international risk consultancy. “Iran is for him the main thing. Those states with most to lose are those doing business with Iran.
Olivier Guitta, a former private banker who now advises banks on geopolitical risk at GlobalStrat, has been following developments in Saudi Arabia and Iran for over a decade. He is sure that, in both countries, the hotels favoured by bankers are emptying. Bankers, he continues, have become acutely aware of the renewed risk of dealing with these two markets.
Mr Guitta, boss of consultancy GlobalStrat, said Isis still has around 30,000 fighters in Iraq and Syria — and he said its success was down to its unique “business model”.