Intelligence
Our written analysis, video commentary and published pieces, with an early read on what is coming and what it could mean for markets, trade and security.
Black Sea ship attacks and the risk of a wider war in Europe
Nine ships were attacked in the Black Sea in ten days, most likely by Russia, and ships from NATO members Romania and Bulgaria, and from Turkey, were among those hit, with lives lost. Olivier Guitta sees it as the place where one incident could spark a major regional war.
Putin has already changed the global order
Two weeks into the invasion of Ukraine, Olivier Guitta argued that Putin had been remaking the world order for years, and that the war would reach well beyond Ukraine. Europe's energy, Turkey's role, Wagner's reach in Africa and the risk over Taiwan were all in the frame.