Mines in the Strait of Hormuz, with clearance taking six months to a year

Middle East

Called 26 March 2026 · Confirmed 23 April 2026

Called four weeks ahead

The call, as published

“Iran doesn’t need to win a naval battle.”

The National Interest, 26 March 2026 ↗

Watch the call

What happened

On 23 April 2026 the US confirmed there were Iranian mines in the Strait, with at least six months needed to clear them.

Yahoo News ↗

What it meant for a business

Any business shipping goods or energy through the Gulf had four weeks to plan how to price, insure and reroute around a strait that could be closed for six months or more.

Olivier Guitta also lists this call on his personal site, olivierguitta.com ↗

Previous
Previous

Bushehr as a catastrophic risk to the Gulf, and a target

Next
Next

A second Iran-Israel war, with the first left unfinished