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"Macron is extremely opportunistic and is filling the void left by the US and the UK in the Middle East, positioning France as a playmaker in the region along with Russia," said Olivier Guitta, the managing director of GlobalStrat, a geopolitical risk consultancy firm.
Olivier Guitta, a leading security expert has spoken of the European Union’s reliance on British intelligence after Theresa May pledged the UK’s commitment to European security.
"It's totally different than Nice and Berlin because it is a much more sophisticated plot involving many more people which is extremely serious and extremely concerning," Olivier Guitta, managing director of GlobalStrat, told CNBC on Friday.
Olivier Guitta, managing director at risk consultants GlobalStrat, told MailOnline: 'Homegrown jihadists have always represented a much larger threat than returnees because they represent a much potential larger pool, are much more under the radar than the ones that travelled to Syria/Iraq that are known to Western security services and would be picked up upon return.
“Many who joined Isil have returned to the UK and they could be awaiting instructions,” said Olivier Guitta, managing director of GlobalStrat, a security and geopolitical risk consulting firm. “It is very likely that there is communication (between those still in Syria and those at home.)
While just three months ago Saudi Arabia was losing allies rapidly, now the momentum has clearly shifted. This sea of change proves how geopolitical fortune can turn around quickly. The catalyst was the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States.
Olivier Guitta, who runs GlobalStrat, a risk consultancy, said that Isis seemed to want to preserve its operatives. “There is a realisation that if they can keep their operatives alive longer then they could possibly pull off other attacks,” he said.
After the Saudi-led airstrikes on Sanaa, Yemen’s capital, on October 8, pressure on Western nations selling weapons to Saudi Arabia will be mounting. Recently, the United States Congress passed into law the Justice Against State Sponsors of Terrorism (JASTA) bill, aimed at the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA).
Olivier Guitta of GlobalStrat, a geopolitical risk consultancy, says “to do both operations at the same time is really a stretch.” In Iraq, he says, the anti-IS coalition can “count on the Iraqi army and Shi’ite militias,” but “in Syria there is a different picture.”
In his last address to the United Nations General Assembly, Barack Obama mentioned Syria in passing. It should have been the central theme of his speech but, as Laurent Fabius has said, Obama was never serious about solving the Syrian crisis.
"We've seen in the past just how a handful of jihadists coming from Libya into Tunisia have really carried out attacks that have had a huge impact on the Tunisian economy as well," Olivier Guitta, the Director of GlobalStrat, an International Security and Geopolitical Risk Firm told RFI.
After the disastrous intervention in 2011, the US has to be careful of the unintended consequences of a new campaign.
“France was already in a state of emergency. Soldiers and police are already patrolling all over the place all the time. You feel like you’re in Beirut in the 1970s,” said Olivier Guitta, managing director at GlobalStrat security consulting firm
This poses an enormous challenge for police and intelligence services: French security expert Olivier Guitta has estimated that in France intelligence agencies have to keep tabs on 100 times as many people as a decade ago.